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With the FIFA World Cup underway, there’s more than just national pride at stake. In companies and among friends everywhere men are scrambling to make predictions as to what the score will be in tonight’s Spain vs Netherlands game, or who will win the tournament.
Luckily you don’t need to raise an octopus and hope that has psychic powers if you want to come out tops in your predictor league, we’ve put together the perfect cheat sheet comprising of predictor models from different data crushers to give you the advantage.
Try the Fivethirtyeight Predictor
This data analysis driven site put together a World Cup prediction model, which gives the probability of each outcome for every group based on player and team ratings from ESPN’s Soccer Power Index.
Predict Like a Financial Mega-Company
The data guys from financial behemoth Goldman Sachs base their analysis on the historic performance of all the countries, as well as recent form. Goldman Sachs predicts Brazil as the eventual winners (no surprise) with the Brazilians beating Argentina 3 – 1 in the final.
Predict Using a 100 000 Simulations
The media and financial software giants Bloomberg built a predictor that not only gives the scores they believe are most likely for each game, but also gives an analysis of each team’s best player and a rating for they teams defensive and offensive abilities.
The graphical of the model makes this predictor the most fun to play with.
When explaining what they base their predictions on, Bloomberg stated, “We simulated each match of the tournament over 100,000 times in order to provide an accurate projection for every potential outcome of the World Cup.”